Russian Heat Wave: "Nothing Similar Has Been Observed"

The heat wave in Russia has continued for so long that the world has moved on to other things. However, new today come these comments from Russian officials:

"Nothing similar has been observed in the millennium history of the Russian state, which dates back to the acceptance of Christianity by ancient Russia in the late 10th Century." The head weather forecaster, Alexander Frolov, went on to say in a televised news conference, "This is a completely unique phenomenon. There are no observations of this in the archives."

YourWeatherBlog has written about the Russian heat before (here and here) and news agencies around the world continue to mention not only the heat, but the oppressive smog, the forest fires and the loss of human life (officials estimate the mortality rate in Moscow has doubled due to the heat wave).

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High pressure is noted over Poland, but a strong high pressure zone in the upper atmosphere is anchored over central Russia effectively blocking the eastward movement of the cold front across western Russia. With a pronounced southerly and southwesterly flow ahead of the cold front, hot winds flow northward from not only southern Europe and western Asia, but Africa as well. Image: ImpactWeather's Gmaps 2.0.

Snowmageddon? Not Right Now . . .

This week marks the six-month anniversary of “Snowmageddon,” a period that saw extensive blizzard conditions throughout much of the northeast U.S. which spawned, among other things, a flurry (sorry) of colorful nicknames.  Dutifully but without the drama, we covered it just as many others did, although for the sake of perspective we also took a look at a number of other Great Blizzards in history.  Take a read . . . maybe it’ll cool you off a bit during this unusually warm summer.

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Scenes from NYC in early February.  Photos: NDTV

Our other “favorite” epithets for that event:  Snowpocalypse and Flakeademic.

Northern Lights Venture Southward For A Change

The Northern Lights shined brightly across the high-latitudes (Norway, Sweden, Canada, etc) earlier this week, but even parts of the northern U.S. (as far south as Wisconsin and Iowa) sky shined.

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The Northern Lights in Wisconsin on the night of Tuesday, August 3. Image: Space Weather

The Northern Lights sparkled earlier this week due to the rare coronal mass ejection (CME) impact and analysts believe a second impact is right behind it. It could arrive as early as today.

Technology and Nature: Still An Amazing Union

Back in the ‘90’s, an email – or two or 5,000 – went around that contained a link that, once clicked, sent you to a web page that announced that “You have reached the end of the Internet” with instructions to turn off your computer and go outside.  Wait . . . here it is.  (There are many different versions but that one’s my favorite because it still quaintly venerates the word ‘internet’ with a capital ‘I.’)

What’s this stroll through digital nostalgia got to do with the weather?  Everything.  The internet’s been around for a while now the weather has, too and just when you think there’s nothing new anymore, or really anything that’s actually relevant, something pops up and surprises you.  Hopefully this is one of those times.

YWB regulars know we cover space weather occasionally (Lauren just yesterday posted about this week’s solar tantrum) and here’s one more place where weather, space weather and technology converge:  we just can’t get enough of NASA’s Astronomy Picture of the Day.  The site’s not brand new and it doesn’t feature a crazy Flash border or promise to change your life.  What it does deliver is one new, usually absolutely fantastic space-related photo each day.  And often, as is the case with yesterday’s, it’s not only clickable through to a larger version but will sometimes also contain a level of educational interactivity such as the labeled potential destinations (some day? maybe?) you see during mouse-over.

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Photo: NASA

I linked to a particular photo – this past Tuesday’s – because it’s the one that inspired me to post about the site itself, but you can select the link for today, bookmark and check it each day like I do.  Two or three days out of the week, I’m blown away by the skill and talent of the photographers . . . and the inconceivable beauty of nature.

So no, you haven’t reached the end of the internet yet.

#1 Weather-Related Killer Is...

What’s your best guess for the #1 weather-related phenomenon responsible for the most deaths? Is it hurricanes, tornadoes, heat, winter weather or floods? According to NOAA, on average in the U.S. more than 1,500 people die each year from excessive heat. With that being said, any one event could dominate any given year such as 2005’s Hurricane Katrina which claimed an estimated 1,800 lives directly or indirectly.

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Hurricane Katrina bears down on the Gulf coast August 28, 2005. Image: NOAA

Notice the image below and how it breaks down various weather-related fatalities across a 10-year period. On average, excessive heat kills more people than hurricanes. Heat deaths are usually preventable and extreme caution needs to be taken. Certain individuals are more susceptible to heat-related illnesses such as the elderly, small children, people on certain medications, those with chronic illnesses, overweight individuals and those who abuse alcohol. To find out what some of the symptoms are for heat strokes and how you can prevent them, check out YourWeatherBlog.

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Excessive heat kills more people on average than any other weather-related phenomenon. Image: NOAA

Take a look at the image below. Notice the highlighted areas in purple across the Southern Plains, MS River Valley and Southeast. The NWS has issued an Excessive Heat Warning for these areas today. You may be asking yourself, what does that mean? Here’s a list of different heat-related products that are issued when conditions warrant.

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Areas shaded in purple fall within the Excessive Heat Warning that is currently in effect across this region. The orange highlighted areas indicate that a Heat Advisory has been issued. Image: National Weather Service

Excessive Heat Warning/Advisory: A warning is issued when an excessive heat event is occurring, is imminent, or has a very high probability of occurrence in the next 36 hours. It’s issued when conditions pose a threat to life or property. An advisory is issued for less serious conditions that cause significant discomfort or inconvenience and, if caution is not taken, could lead to a threat to life and/or property.

Excessive Heat Watch: Issued when conditions are favorable for an excessive heat event in the next 12-48 hours. A watch is used when the risk of a heat wave has increased, but its occurrence and timing is still uncertain.

Temperatures across portions of the Southern Plains, Mississippi River Valley and Southeast will reach the upper 90’s to low 100’s today. When you factor in the humidity, heat index values across most of these regions will be between 105-110F. Heat index values across some areas could reach up to 115F.

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Areas highlighted in orange indicate the excessive heat expected over the Southern Plains, MS River Valley and Southeast today. Isolated severe storms (red) will also be possible across portions of the Southeast. Image: ImpactWeather

Unfortunately, two suspected heat-related deaths have occurred in Kansas City, Missouri and are currently being investigated by the Jackson County Medical Examiner. An Excessive Heat Warning is in effect until 8pm Wednesday night for the Greater Kansas City Metro area. Temperatures are expected to top out near 100F today with heat index values around 110F.

Is a Solar Storm Heading for Earth?

On Sunday, the Solar Dynamics Observatory of NASA spotted a coronal mass ejection, or large solar storm, that’s headed for Earth. An eruption occurred this past weekend on the sun’s surface and the plasma from it was launched into space. If it continues on its current path, it could reach the our planet in the overnight or early morning hours of August 3-4.

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X-ray photo of the sun in the early morning hours of Sunday, August 1. The dark arc near the top right edge is a strand of plasma blasting off the surface, which is part of the coronal mass ejection. When particles from the eruption reach Earth on the evening of August 3-4, they may trigger a radiant display of the Northern Lights. Image: NASA

What might the impact be if the coronal mass ejection reaches the Earth?  It could cause a particularly strong aurora also known as the Northern Lights, or aurora borealis in the Northern hemisphere. According to Space.com, sky watchers in the northern United States will be able to look to the north Wednesday evening for rippling curtains of green and red light. Typically the view of the light show in the western hemisphere is usually seen, mostly, from Canada and Alaska.

The last solar maximum occurred in 2001 and its recent extreme solar minimum was particularly weak and long lasting. According to NASA, these kinds of eruptions are one of the first signs that the Sun is waking up and heading toward another solar maximum expected in the 2013 time frame. If Moscow thinks it's hot now…(sorry, a solar max has nothing to do with daytime temperatures but rather solar flares and related power outages, interruptions to communications, GPS malfunctions and more.)

Protecting Your Car in the Summer Heat

The busy travel season is beginning to slow down as the kids get ready to go back to school, but the summer heat doesn’t seem to be letting up anytime soon. So even though you may not have any more long road trips planned, keep in mind the summer heat is hard on your car and you need to make sure it’s serviced properly.

You know when you’re outside in the summer time how much harder your body has to work in order to keep you cool? Well that’s also true for your car as it has to work harder to keep everything cool as the heat puts more stress on the engine and can even wear down your tires. Hopefully you’ve already been keeping up with your car’s maintenance, but with the excessive heat expected across the Southern Plains and Southeast the next several days it wouldn’t hurt to double-check a few things.

It’s always a good idea to check the levels of all of your fluids. You want to make sure you have enough refrigerant in your car and that it’s not running low because this could cause your air conditioner to malfunction. This definitely would not be a good thing to happen on a hot summer day.

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Be sure to check your cars fluids. Image: autotips.plentycar.com

Hot weather can also be very hard on your car battery, so make sure it continues to run smoothly. Keep it clean as corroded battery terminals can prevent it from running its best. You can even make a paste of baking soda and water to clean it off.

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A battery that needs to be cleaned. Image: www.secondchancegarage.com

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A clean battery. Image: www.secondchancegarage.com

Ask yourself this, how often do you find yourself sitting in traffic on a hot summer day? Well here in Houston that’s pretty much every day for me. Did you know your car can quickly overheat just sitting in traffic? I personally know this can happen because it happened to me about two months ago. My car overheated while I was stuck in bumper-to-bumper traffic and my car just started smoking and eventually just quit. After I panicked for a few minutes, I called a tow truck and they took my car to a local dealership. Come to find out it was my radiator. Of course this is a part of the coolant system and any problems with it can cause your car to overheat and break down. Be sure to check your coolant levels, hoses, belts and radiator to make sure everything is working properly and nothing is broken or missing.

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Me and my poor car that overheated. Image: Lauren Whisenhunt

A relatively inexpensive thing you should do about ever 12,000 miles is to replace your air filter. When your air filter becomes clogged it can lower your fuel efficiency. In this day and age when the gas averages $2.74 a gallon, any way we can cut back on costs helps.

This next tip you should actually do year round and that’s changing your oil and replacing your oil filter. I usually take my car in every 3,000 miles or about every 3 months to get my oil changed. Be sure and check your oil before you head out on a long trip to make sure it’s not running low and it should be a brownish-yellow color. If it’s a darker color that means you probably need an oil change.

These are just a few tips to keep in mind during the summer months and how you can protect your car in the heat. The last thing I’ll mention is to check your tire pressure regularly as tire pressure does change with the rising temperatures. According to the Rubber Manufacturers Association, the inflation pressure in a tire goes up in warm weather 1-2 pounds for every 10 degrees of temperature change.

With all these tips in mind, would your car be ready for a road trip tomorrow? I bet a few of you might be scratching your head. Well take a look at the forecast the next few days and then maybe you can answer (see below).

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Highlighted areas in orange indicate the excessive heat expected across the Southern Plains and Southeast. The areas in red indicate the potential for isolated severe storms. Image: ImpactWeather

The hot and humid weather will persist the next several days across the Southern Plains and Southeast with highs in the upper 90’s/low 100’s and heat index values between 105-115ºF. Temperatures in Dallas today could climb to near 105ºF, Oklahoma City near 103ºF, Tulsa near 105ºF, Memphis near 103ºF and Kansas City near 102ºF.

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On Wednesday, the excessive heat (orange) will continue across the Southern Plains, MS Valley and Southeast with high in the upper 90’s to low 100’s. Heat index values will be between 105-112ºF.

Delta Flight 191: 25 Years Later

Today, August 2, 2010 is the 25-year anniversary of the Delta Flight 191 airliner crash near the Dallas Ft. Worth Airport, which killed 135 people, including one on the ground.

I had graduated from USAF weather school  just two months earlier when the crash brought aviation meteorology to the front page of newspapers around the world. With the wreckage of Flight 191 still smoldering on the field, the world was hearing terms like "microburst" and "low-level wind shear," which I had learned in school only a few short weeks before.

A thunderstorm is formed when columns of heated air move rapidly upward. As the contrast between warm and cool air becomes more dramatic with altitude, the air rushes upward even faster. While this is happening, basic cloud mechanics condense the water vapor into a visible cloud, eventually water droplets form and become large (heavy) enough to fall as rain; rain drops in the higher elevations freeze and become hail. Eventually, the rising air cools, its buoyancy decreases, its ascent slows and it begins to fall. A growing thunderstorm is comprised mainly of upward-moving columns of air, while a mature thunderstorm contains a mix of upward and downward columns of rushing air. When dissipating, a thunderstorm loses most of the upward columns and the cool air rushes downward to the Earth. Though this concept of basic meteorology is relatively easy to understand, rising and falling currents of air are only half the story, and it's the "other half" that is responsible for the downing of Flight 191.

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The life of a thunderstorm. Image: Wikipedia.

Air moving up and down has to come from some place and it has to go some place; it doesn't just move up and down. As air moves upward, additional air is drawn into the lower levels to replace the air that has moved up. In a growing thunderstorm, this drawn-in air can come from miles away. If you're looking at a distant thunderstorm and the wind is at your back, it's likely the storm is in the growing stages and is literally sucking up air from all around to feed its growing tower of cloud. Conversely, a mature or dissipating storm violently throws the air downward* forcing the air to rapidly spread out from the base of the storm. If you're still looking at the same storm perhaps an hour later and you feel a burst of cool, moist air on your face, it's very likely you're feeling the air that only moments ago was within the higher levels of that same thunderstorm. Called a downburst — or when more locally confined a microburst — the winds are strong enough to topple trucks, damage buildings and knock down trees. Its effect on aircraft can be devastating.

Such was the case with Delta 191. Pilots today do not knowingly fly through thunderstorms. With ground and airborne radar, thunderstorms are easy to detect and avoid. In fact, as a result of the Delta crash, onboard radar wind-shear detectors are now standard equipment on airliners and have been for about 15 years. However, the flight crew 25 years ago made the decision to fly through a thunderstorm — a lone, innocuous-looking thunderstorm — enroute to their arrival at the Dallas/Ft. Worth airport.

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NASA artist's rendering of a microburst over an airfield. Image: Wikipedia.

The crew noticed nearby lightning and within moments experienced a rapid increase in airspeed. In the illustration above the increased airspeed was a result of encountering the leading edge of the microburst. As the crew wrestled with the controls, other gusts struck the craft including side gusts and then a downward gust. Onboard flight sensors measured the airliner's rapid descent to be 5,000 feet per minute, or 83 feet per second; the plane was just 280 feet above the ground. Moments later, while passing through the center of the burst, the airspeed dropped dramatically and the rapid descent continued to the ground. The Delta flight struck the ground once, became airborne again then skidded across TX State Highway 114 killing one person on the roadway in addition to the souls lost onboard.

Since that time, the mention of low-level wind shear and microburst potential have become standard within any flight weather briefing when thunderstorms are present or expected to be present at departure, along the route or at the arrival airport. As an aviation meteorologist in Oklahoma and Texas, it was a rare day that I didn't mention wind shear to the pilot receiving my briefings. With the advent of Doppler radar, the ability to look inside a storm and analyze wind currents around a storm makes identifying wind shear possible, though it remains difficult for meteorologists to pinpoint the exact timing and location of such events in advance. Any thunderstorm has the potential for such phenomena; any pilot should assume the potential is high and give a wide berth to any thunderstorm.

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Delta Flight 191 came to rest near Texas State Highway 114 north of Dallas/Ft. Worth International Airport. Image Google Maps.

This morning, on the 25th anniversary of the disaster, the Dallas/Ft. Worth International Airport dedicated a memorial to the 135 victims of Delta Air Lines Flight 191.

* As the cool, rain-laden air moves downward and spreads below the thunderstorm, evaporation further cools the air. This cooling dramatically increases the contrast between the warm/hot air surrounding the storm and the cool/cold air within the storm further accelerating the rushing air.

Above-Average Temperatures Expected in August

It was a hot weekend across much of the Southern Plains and Southeast with highs in the upper 90’s. A few areas even topped off in the low 100’s. When you factor in both the heat and humidity you get the heat index, which is basically how hot it really feels outside. The heat index across much of the Southern Plains and Southeast this weekend was between 100-110ºF with a few areas above 110ºF. On Friday, the National Weather Service in Charleston, South Carolina issued an Excessive Heat Warning for Southeast South Carolina and Southeast Georgia until as late as 9pm (Eastern Time). Highs climbed into the upper 90’s to low 100’s across this region and heat index values soared up to near 120ºF along the East coast.

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An Excessive Heat Warning is issued when extreme heat index values make it feel very hot, typically above 105°F (41°C) for 3 hours or more during the day for two consecutive days or above 115°F (46°C) for any length of time. Specific criteria varies for different county warning areas. Image: National Weather Service

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Areas highlighted in orange indicate the excessive heat over the Southern Plains and Southeast on Friday. Image: ImpactWeather

The heat continued throughout the weekend with heat index values across the Southern Plains and much of the Southeast between 105-112ºF. The hot and humid weather is expected to continue throughout the week with highs well into the upper 90’s/low 100’s and heat index values between 100-110ºF.

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Excessive heat (orange) expected today across the Central/Southern Plains and much of the Southeast. Isolated severe storms (red) will be possible across the lower Southeast as a weak front and plenty of moisture interacts with the strong daytime heating. Image: ImpactWeather

If you’re like me, you can’t wait until the cooler weather arrives and you’re counting down the days to fall. The first day of fall this year is on Wednesday, September 22 so we still have a little over a month and a half to go. (Well, exactly 52 days away, but who’s counting?) It doesn’t look like August will be any kinder to us in terms of the heat as much of the lower 48 will see above-average temperatures (see image below) as a stronger than normal upper-level high pressure system prevails. The warmest weather is expected from the Central and Northern Rockies, eastward across the Central and Northern Plains, Mid and Upper Mississippi Valley, Ohio Valley, Great Lakes and the Northeast. Farther south, near normal temperatures are expected along the West Coast and from southern Arizona and New Mexico eastward across the Gulf Coast states.

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Temperature outlook for August, 2010. Image: ImpactWeather